One of the few medical experts whose word I trust, has firmly believed for a while we are in the latter stages of an epidemic.
I must emphasize that I am NOT a medical professional, I am just taking the word of one who is and has reliably proven in the past that she is a lot smarter than the average bear.
Basically there was a double spike in the flu season this year and a higher death toll than average. But this also means that a large segment of the population is already immune to Covid-19.
“The Oxford research suggests the pandemic is in a later stage than previously thought and estimates the virus has already infected at least millions of people worldwide. In the United Kingdom, which the study focuses on, half the population would have already been infected. If accurate, that would mean transmission began around mid-January and the vast majority of cases presented mild or no symptoms.
The head of the study, professor Sunetra Gupta, an Oxford theoretical epidemiologist, said she still supports the U.K.’s decision to shut down the country to suppress the virus even if her research winds up being proven correct. But she also doesn’t appear to be a big fan of the work done by the Imperial College team. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” she said.
If her work is accurate, that would likely mean a large swath of the population has built up resistance to the virus. Theoretically, then, social restrictions could ease sooner than anticipated. What needs to be done now, Gupta said, is a whole lot of antibody testing to figure out who may have contracted the virus.“
Regular readers of this blog will doubtless recall my bitching about a particularly nasty bug that has laid me up this winter. Okay, yes, it’s true that “I had me the Corona I can feels it,” hardly constitutes a proper diagnosis.
But it is possible to run up a simple blood drop test that will detect the presence of the antibody for Corvid-19. And the Brits seem to have done just that.
Mind you, I am not a journalist and therefore not an instant medical expert but I think we will shortly know if we have already hit peak plague and end the lock-down.
Perhaps in time to save The New Warriors.
Hey, I never said there wasn’t a downside to surviving the plague.